a) The U.S. Dollar.
The United States
dollar is the world's main currency – an universal measure to evaluate any
other currency traded on Forex. All currencies are generally quoted in U.S.
dollar terms. Under conditions of international economic and political unrest,
the U.S. dollar is the main safe-haven currency, which was proven particularly
well during the Southeast Asian crisis of 1997-1998.
As it was
indicated, the U.S. dollar became the leading currency toward the end of the
Second World War along the Breton Woods Accord, as the other currencies were
virtually pegged against it. The introduction of the euro in 1999 reduced the
dollar's importance only marginally.
The other major
currencies traded against the U.S. dollar are the euro, Japanese yen, British
pound, and Swiss franc.
b) The Euro.
The euro was
designed to become the premier currency in trading by simply being quoted in
American terms. Like the U.S. dollar, the euro has a strong international
presence stemming from members of the European Monetary Union. The currency
remains lagued by unequal growth, high unemployment, and government resistance
to structural changes. The pair was also weighed in 1999 and 2000 by outflows
from foreign investors, particularly Japanese, who were forced to liquidate
their losing investments in euro-denominated assets. Moreover, European money
managers rebalanced their portfolios and reduced their euro exposure as their
needs for hedging currency risk in Europe declined.
c) The Japanese Yen.
The Japanese yen
is the third most traded currency in the world; it has a much smaller
international presence than the U.S. dollar or the euro. The yen is very liquid
around the world, practically around the clock. The natural demand to trade the
yen concentrated mostly among the Japanese keiretsu, the economic and financial
conglomerates. The yen is much more sensitive to the fortunes of the Nikkei
index, the Japanese stock market, and the real estate market.
d) The British Pound.
Until the end of
World War II, the pound was the currency of reference. The currency is heavily
traded against the euro and the U.S. dollar, but has a spotty presence against
other currencies. Prior to the introduction of the euro, both the pound
benefited from any doubts about the currency convergence. After the
introduction of the euro, Bank of England is attempting to bring the high U.K.
rates closer to the lower rates in the euro zone. The pound could join the euro
in the early 2000s, provided that the U.K. referendum is positive.
e) The Swiss Franc.
The Swiss franc is
the only currency of a major European country that belongs neither to the
European Monetary Union nor to the G-7 countries. Although the Swiss economy is
relatively small, the Swiss franc is one of the four major currencies, closely
resembling the strength and quality of the Swiss economy and finance.
Switzerland has a very close economic relationship with Germany, and thus to
the euro zone. Therefore, in terms of political uncertainty in the East, the
Swiss franc is favored generally over the euro. Typically, it is believed that
the Swiss franc is a stable currency. Actually, from a foreign exchange point
of view, the Swiss franc closely resembles the patterns of the euro, but lacks
its liquidity. As the demand for it exceeds supply, the Swiss franc can be more
volatile than the euro.
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